Vulnerability Assessment

Socio-economic vulnerability indicators and adaptive capacity analysis by district

Average Poverty Rate

34.6%

Across all districts

Healthcare Access

62.2%

Population with access

Water Access

67.4%

Population with safe water

Adaptive Capacity

47.0%

Average capacity index

Vulnerability Index by District

Composite index combining sensitivity and adaptive capacity

Formula:

Vulnerability Index = (Sensitivity Index + (1 - Adaptive Capacity)) / 2

Informal Settlements

Population living in unplanned areas by district

Vulnerability Indicators by District

DistrictPoverty RateLiteracyHealthcareWater AccessHousing IndexVulnerabilityLevel
Kigamboni42.8%78.9%48.0%55.2%0.42
85%
very high
Temeke38.4%82.3%58.0%62.8%0.48
78%
very high
Ilala32.1%86.5%68.0%71.2%0.55
68%
high
Ubungo31.2%88.1%65.0%69.5%0.52
62%
high
Kinondoni28.5%89.2%72.0%78.5%0.62
52%
medium

Key Vulnerability Findings

  • Kigamboni shows highest vulnerability (85%) due to high poverty, limited healthcare access, and coastal exposure
  • 70% of population lives in informal settlements lacking proper drainage and sanitation
  • Adaptive capacity varies significantly: Kinondoni (58%) vs Kigamboni (35%)
  • Water access below 80% in most districts, increasing vulnerability during droughts and floods

Vulnerability Assessment Methodology

Data Sources: Tanzania National Bureau of Statistics, DHS surveys, local government records

Sensitivity Index: Combines poverty rate, housing quality, and infrastructure access

Adaptive Capacity: Based on literacy, healthcare access, income levels, and institutional capacity

Vulnerability Index: V = (S + (1 - AC)) / 2, normalized to 0-1 scale