Methodology & Tools

Comprehensive documentation of all tools, calculations, and data sources used in this assessment

Climate Risk Assessment Workflow

1

Climate Projections

CMIP6/CORDEX models

2

Hazard Analysis

Probability & intensity

3

Exposure Mapping

Population & assets

4

Vulnerability Assessment

Socio-economic factors

5

Risk Integration

Combined risk scores

Climate Models

  • • CMIP6 Global Climate Models
  • • CORDEX-Africa Regional Downscaling
  • • SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP5-8.5 scenarios
  • • 2030, 2050, 2100 time horizons

GIS Tools

  • • QGIS for spatial analysis
  • • Digital Elevation Models (DEM)
  • • Land use/land cover mapping
  • • Flood inundation modeling

Economic Models

  • • Expected Annual Loss (EAL)
  • • Cost-Benefit Analysis (CBA)
  • • Net Present Value (NPV)
  • • Monte Carlo uncertainty analysis